Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.237606 11.716560 13.347760 15.282597 17.517992 20.023056 23.048138
2025-09-21 8.172544 10.073177 12.339204 15.248468 18.896879 23.336989 29.174998
2025-09-28 6.888400 8.947888 11.542949 15.069120 19.760952 25.824290 34.310960
2025-10-05 6.237798 8.462066 11.396289 15.576655 21.422527 29.370436 41.102931
2025-10-12 5.700942 8.028303 11.222576 15.964506 22.889885 32.734179 47.965405
2025-10-19 5.318022 7.744452 11.195456 16.512520 24.590018 36.547971 55.864690
2025-10-26 4.736254 7.101341 10.571154 16.093997 24.779821 38.107636 60.476719
2025-11-02 4.297480 6.619702 10.126095 15.878768 25.223602 40.052841 65.855265
2025-11-09 3.930902 6.208732 9.741444 15.703580 25.686906 42.038303 71.474672
2025-11-16 3.604949 5.828453 9.364189 15.491632 26.048345 43.862079 76.981619
2025-11-23 3.300654 5.453951 8.958908 15.185654 26.204599 45.328248 81.984629
2025-11-30 3.206171 5.417722 9.105029 15.825780 28.053372 49.903357 93.139703
2025-12-07 3.034666 5.238459 8.998068 16.020849 29.142840 53.259991 102.474149
2025-12-14 2.841719 5.004838 8.775681 15.984757 29.799272 55.877445 110.679629
2025-12-21 2.645200 4.747468 8.487565 15.796201 30.140305 57.914572 117.937631
2025-12-28 2.569483 4.702838 8.579421 16.329811 31.925945 62.939503 131.966727
2026-01-04 2.481736 4.627749 8.606789 16.737625 33.496024 67.684718 145.971982
2026-01-11 2.420819 4.597899 8.715708 17.313898 35.461841 73.440275 162.908156
2026-01-18 2.243943 4.329217 8.340925 16.873788 35.254558 74.571355 169.485773
2026-01-25 2.106204 4.127111 8.081134 16.647471 35.479413 76.652944 178.519775
2026-02-01 1.984133 3.947112 7.851406 16.463266 35.775582 78.915536 188.255204
2026-02-08 1.867725 3.769951 7.613749 16.240417 35.961749 80.941885 197.653449
2026-02-15 1.750762 3.583106 7.341941 15.918717 35.890301 82.359535 205.688045